"The Lightning have won 60.3% of their games this season when favored on the moneyline, with a 23-12 record when favored by -170 or shorter."
"The Canadiens have won 27 of 42 games as underdogs this season, with a 41.3% implied chance of victory based on the moneyline."
"In games played this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over 5.5 combined goals in 51 of 86 games, indicating a high-scoring trend."
Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round is set for April 29, 2026, at 7 p.m. ET, featuring the Tampa Bay Lightning against the Montreal Canadiens. The series is tied 2-2. The Lightning have a 63.0% implied win probability, having won 60.3% of their games as favorites this season. The Canadiens, as underdogs, have a 41.3% chance of victory. Both teams have frequently exceeded 5.5 combined goals in their games, making the over a recommended bet.
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