"El Niño is coming, and it is shaping up to be a big one. If a strong El Niño develops, it would push up 2026 global temperatures and particularly 2027 temperatures. 2027 would be increasingly likely to be a record warm year."
"The lag between peak El Niño conditions and the global surface temperature response would result in the largest impacts on 2027 temperatures. 2027 looks increasingly likely to set a new record, perhaps by a sizeable margin if we end up on the high end range of the El Niño forecasts."
"A 'super El Niño', meanwhile, occurs when sea surface temperatures reach at least 2°C (3.6F) above normal. The most recent 'super' event occurred a decade ago, in 2015-2016, and was one of the strongest on record."
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a climate pattern of warm and cool water in the equatorial Pacific that significantly influences global climate. Currently in a cool La Niña phase, forecasters predict a 62% chance of transition to El Niño between June and August, with a 15% possibility of developing into a super El Niño by November. A super El Niño occurs when sea surface temperatures exceed 2°C above normal, an event that has happened only twice in 30 years. The most recent super event in 2015-2016 was among the strongest recorded. El Niño releases vast heat from the tropical Pacific into the atmosphere, raising global temperatures. Scientists project that 2027 would likely become a record warm year, potentially by a significant margin.
Read at Mail Online
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]