"City were expected to right their wrongs from last season and compete for the title this time around, but after back-to-back losses, they are already six points adrift of leaders and reigning champions Liverpool. United, meanwhile, earned their first win of the season last time out, leaving it late to collect all three points against Burnley at Old Trafford. That win"
"What's expected? Manchester City have won five of their last eight Premier League games against Manchester United (D1 L2), though they failed to win either meeting (D1 L1) last season for the first time since 2020-21. Amorim got the better of his opposite number last term, beating Pep Guardiola's side with both Sporting CP and United, while also overseeing a goalless draw in April."
"And United have inflicted 25% of Guardiola's total home Premier League defeats as City boss, with the Red Devils winning four times at the Etihad against him (4/16). Since 2015-16, the home team has ended on the winning side in just six out of 20 Premier League meetings in the Manchester derby (D4 L10). City are expected to get a home victory this time around, though, with Guardiola's side winning 65.6% of the Opta supercomputer's 10,000 pre-match simulations."
Manchester City enter the Etihad derby under pressure after back-to-back league defeats that leave them six points behind leaders Liverpool. Manchester United claimed a late victory over Burnley for their first league win but suffered an earlier EFL Cup upset to League Two Grimsby Town, leaving Ruben Amorim seeking greater goodwill while attempting a turnaround. United sit one point and four places above City early in the table. Historical data shows City have won five of the last eight league derbies, though they failed to win either meeting last season. Opta simulations give City a 65.6% chance to win versus United's 15.8%.
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