"Putting together a winning fantasy basketball roster starts with a great draft. And to have a great draft, you need to know which players to go after and which to avoid. So which players will out-produce their average draft position (ADP) this season? Who will take their game to another level? And which players are the biggest risk to take a step backward?"
"Karabell: Castle starred in the final 25 games of last season, averaging 19.3 PPG, 5.2 RPG and 5.6 APG and earning Rookie of the Year honors, though this happened without PG De'Aaron Fox in the lineup. These stars can coexist in a dynamic backcourt, and for those worried about hotshot rookie Dylan Harper, the teenager seems unlikely to handle a major role anytime soon."
"Snellings: The No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NBA draft, Sarr has the highest upside from his class and was further along as a rookie than expected. When I saw him in Vegas this summer, he had the quality I look for when sophomores play: he was too good for the Summer League. He projects to a nightly double-double threat with great blocks and some outside shooting, giving him upside similar to a young Jaren Jackson Jr. when healthy."
Draft success requires identifying players who will out-produce their average draft position and avoiding risky picks. Castle averaged 19.3 PPG, 5.2 RPG and 5.6 APG in his final 25 games and earned Rookie of the Year despite De'Aaron Fox's absence; he offers multi-category production and falls outside the top 100 picks. Sarr, the No. 2 overall pick in 2024, showed advanced rookie development, dominated Summer League and projects as a nightly double-double threat with blocks and outside shooting, offering Jaren Jackson Jr.-like upside when healthy. Porter is poised for an expanded on-ball role with the Bucks and showed playmaking and scoring ability when Lillard was off the floor.
Read at ESPN.com
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