"By the time Selection Sunday arrives, there will have been plenty of movement in the projected field of 68 for the 2026 NCAA tournament regarding the teams that are in, as well as those looking to get in. While our Tuesday and Friday Bracketology updates allow us to look at the race to March Madness holistically twice a week, results every day matter and can affect teams -- whether they're playing or not."
"State of the bubble: Every relevant team except TCU plays Saturday, so expect plenty of movement. Virginia Tech (vs. Duke) and Murray State (at Belmont) would be in with wins. These five would be out with a loss: Indiana (at UCLA), Texas (at Oklahoma), USC (vs. Rutgers), New Mexico (at San Jose State) and San Diego State (at Utah State)."
Projected 68-team field for the 2026 NCAA tournament will shift frequently as nightly results influence team projections. Joe Lunardi tracks every relevant game each night to inform bracket calculations. Bracketology updates occur Tuesdays and Fridays, with daily lunchtime updates Tuesday through Saturday and occasional exceptions. Games are prioritized by importance to potential bracket changes, and team projections are noted in parentheses when applicable. Michigan currently holds a 1-seed and faces Michigan State; that game likely would not cost the 1-seed. Several bubble teams face decisive Saturday matchups that could move them in or out of contention.
Read at ESPN.com
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