"Joey Wentz gets the start for Atlanta. His overall season numbers are rough, headlined by a 5.56 ERA, but the peripherals are a little better. His xFIP is 4.58, and his FIP is 4.11. The main difference is cause by his HR/FB rate being below 10%. There's not really any reason to think that'll continue, as he hasn't done that in his career. Statcast splits the difference. Coward."
"The righty doesn't strike out a lot of guys, and he walks almost a full better fewer per 9 than our lefty. There's a few more groundballs as well. Statcast thinks he's worse. As for the repertoire, he does with a pretty standard repertoire. It's probably part of the reason he doesn't strike out a lot of guys. By Stuff+, his sinker and slider are his best pitches, and he might be better served leaning on them a bit more."
Atlanta is enjoying its best stretch despite poor timing in the season. Joey Wentz starts with a 5.56 ERA, an xFIP of 4.58 and a FIP of 4.11, with an unusually low sub‑10% HR/FB rate that likely regresses. Wentz increased changeup usage in his last start. Keider Montero has an ERA about a run better but similar peripherals, with fewer strikeouts, fewer walks per nine, and more groundballs. Statcast rates Montero worse. Montero's sinker and slider grade best by Stuff+, suggesting increased reliance on those pitches could help. Game time, location, and broadcast details are provided.
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