"The new poll finds Hilton still in the lead at 16% with Steyer only one point behind at 15%. Becerra has been on a steady rise in recent weeks, and came in at 13%, well ahead of the next Democratic challenger, Katie Porter, who slipped to 9%."
"Based on this information and recent trends, Sacramento data cruncher Paul Mitchell's prediction model now favors Becerra to be the Democrat who wins out in the primary, likely running against Hilton in November."
"The odds of two Democrats making it through the primary, according to Mitchell's model, are now less than half a percent. That could leave Steyer and Becerra duking it out for prominence in the next several weeks."
A recent CBS News/YouGov poll shows Tom Steyer at 15%, just behind Republican Steve Hilton at 16%. Xavier Becerra follows at 13%, with Katie Porter at 9%. The poll indicates a significant chance of a Democrat versus Republican race in November, with a 96.2% likelihood. Paul Mitchell's prediction model favors Becerra as the likely Democratic candidate to advance. The poll was conducted after a debate among candidates and following Betty Yee's exit and endorsement of Becerra, with 26% of voters still undecided.
Read at sfist.com
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