"Let that sink in for a minute: The most hyped team in America this preseason is now projected to watch the playoff from home. ESPN Analytics gives Texas the fourth-best chance to reach the SEC championship game (26%) behind Georgia, Ole Miss and Alabama. The Longhorns' season-opening road loss to Ohio State isn't the problem -- it's the product on the field."
"Only three weeks into the season, Notre Dame and Clemson have dropped out of the playoff picture with two losses each. According to the Allstate Playoff Predictor, Notre Dame (0-2) now has a 6% chance of reaching the College Football Playoff. Clemson (1-2) has a 4% chance. That makes room for somebody else. Below you'll find one team in the spotlight for each of the Power 4 leagues and another identified as an enigma."
Notre Dame and Clemson each suffered early setbacks that dropped their College Football Playoff chances to roughly 6% and 4%, respectively. The resulting openings create opportunities for other programs and shifting projections. Teams are being tiered into three groups: "Would be in," "Work to do," and "Would be out," reflecting current performance and committee tendencies. Texas stands out in the SEC after being projected out of a top-12 snapshot; ESPN Analytics gives Texas a 26% chance for the SEC title, while Arch Manning's QBR (49.6, No. 88) and poor efficiency metrics raise concerns. Projections will evolve weekly.
Read at ESPN.com
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