"CBO is basing its estimates on the agencies' contingency plans and departments and the Office of Personnel Management (OPM). "The number of furloughed employees could vary by the day because some agencies might furlough more employees the longer a shutdown persists and others might recall some initially furloughed employees," Swagel writes. Every agency and department must decide which employees are "excepted" and which ones to furlough. None of them will receive pay during a shutdown."
"If and when a shutdown ends, federal employees and congressional staffers will receive paychecks. In the meantime, it's difficult to calculate the effect of their delayed paychecks on economic growth. "The effects of a government shutdown on business activity are uncertain, and their magnitude would depend on the duration of a shutdown and on decisions made by the Administration," Swagel writes."
CBO estimates daily compensation for federal employees at roughly $400 million if a shutdown occurs. The government will shut down at midnight without a short-term spending stopgap. Estimates rely on agencies' contingency plans and OPM information. The number of furloughed employees could change daily as agencies adjust staffing and recall some employees. Agencies must designate excepted employees; excepted staff work without pay until appropriations are enacted. Active-duty military are generally excepted and required to work but are paid only after appropriations resume. Members of Congress continue to receive pay during a shutdown. Agencies may use mandatory or appropriated funds to pay selected employees. Economic effects depend on shutdown duration and administration decisions.
Read at Axios
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