"Believe it or not, President Donald Trump is in serious trouble. Whether his unfavorability ratings for handling the economy are 55%, 57%, or 60%, those ratings are about as deep underwater as a U.S. president can be. And that unfavorability is on the very issue that he rode to the White House a year ago. Trump's unpopularity could reduce his control over the Republican Party"
"I'm no expert on trade law, but I can read Article 1, Section 8 of the Constitution, which grants Congress the authority to "regulate commerce with foreign nations, and among the several states." With that as a starting point, I wouldn't be shocked if the Supreme Court holds, a few weeks or months from now, that Trump improperly imposed sweeping tariffs for reasons such as "Brazil is prosecuting Jair Bolsonaro" and "I didn't like the advertisement the Province of Ontario ran during the World Series.""
"Trump isn't one to accept losing with grace. But assume for the moment that Trump doesn't give a speech telling his supporters to attack the Supreme Court building and hang John Roberts. Assume Trump doesn't tell the Supreme Court, "Screw you," and maintain the tariffs despite the ruling. A normal president might retreat to statutes other than the IEEPA that grant the authority to impose tariffs."
Trump's unfavorability ratings for handling the economy range around 55–60%, a level deeply negative for a U.S. president and tied to the issue that propelled him to office. That unpopularity could weaken his control of the Republican Party and affect next year's midterm elections, jeopardizing legislative plans and inviting new investigations. The Supreme Court will hear whether Trump had authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to impose sweeping tariffs. Article I, Section 8 vests Congress with commerce authority, creating a plausible path for the Court to find the tariffs improper. If the Court rules against Trump, he may seek other statutory bases for tariffs.
Read at Above the Law
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