"When President Trump took office for his second term one year ago, he was - at least compared with his usual polling - relatively popular. His approval rating was above 50 percent, and he had made enormous breakthroughs among groups that have traditionally voted Democratic, like young, nonwhite and lower-turnout voters. It had some of the markings of a potential political realignment ..."
"The major demographic shifts of the last election have snapped back. In today's poll, Mr. Trump's approval rating by demographic group looks almost exactly as it did in Times/Siena polling in the run-up to his defeat in the 2020 presidential election. If anything, young and nonwhite voters are even likelier to disapprove of Mr. Trump than they were then, while he retains most of his support among older and white voters."
"The sources of Trump's sagging job-approval numbers are sometimes missed by those fixated with looking for defections from his base or "splits" in the Republican Party. The Times-Siena poll shows Trump's job-approval rating from self-identified Republicans at a robust 86 percent. But among independents, it's a sour 34 percent, with 48 percent strongly disapproving of his job performance. Similarly, 54 percent of under-30 registered voters and 53 percent of non-white registered voters strongly disapprove of the job the president is doing."
Recent polling indicates President Trump's approval briefly exceeded 50 percent early in his second term, driven by gains among young, nonwhite, and lower-turnout voters. Those demographic shifts have largely snapped back, returning approval patterns to levels similar to the run-up to the 2020 election. Young and nonwhite voters now register even stronger disapproval than before, while older and white voters remain comparatively supportive. Self-identified Republicans report roughly 86 percent approval, whereas independents register about 34 percent approval with many strongly disapproving. The same issues that boosted performance in 2024 now appear to be eroding current support.
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