"Now this isn't exact, right? It's an approximation. I wouldn't be surprised if it's tied. I wouldn't be surprised if Democrats actually gained two or three seats from the mid-decade redistricting battle. But the bottom line is this: it started out as a plus for Republicans, and now it looks like the Democrats have fought back and fought back in a major way. It looks like it's gonna be a plus to them nationwide."
"California, of course, Gavin Newsom, five seats for the Democrats. Utah, court ruling there, one seat. And then it basically evens out on the Republican side, right? Maybe a four-seat gain from Texas, Enten replied, adding: I honestly wouldn't be surprised if that was, in fact, threeonly three, not the five we thought it was going to start out withagain, taking away seats from the Republicans nationwide."
The mid-decade redistricting fight began in Texas after actions by President Donald Trump and initially projected a Republican advantage of roughly five House seats. Recent developments have shifted projections so Democrats are now more likely to gain seats nationwide, with possibilities of a net gain of two or three seats or a tied outcome. Expected state-level impacts include California adding five Democratic seats under Governor Gavin Newsom, a Utah court ruling affecting one seat, and contested changes in Texas that may yield three to four Republican seats but likely fewer than first projected. North Carolina and Ohio may each shift by one seat.
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