What Peter Thiel's dumping of Nvidia stock for Apple and Microsoft says about the AI race | Fortune
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What Peter Thiel's dumping of Nvidia stock for Apple and Microsoft says about the AI race | Fortune
"Nvidia may be building AI's future, but the platforms integrating AI with consumer products could prove the more durable bet. Companies like Nvidia have soared in value in the first few years of the AI boom, benefiting from a mass infrastructure buildout. But a different business model might eventually win out over the long term."
"Nvidia has been the reigning beneficiary of the AI boom. Its chips power virtually every major model being trained today, and its stock reflects that status, when it recently became the world's most valuable company after its market cap hit $5 trillion in October. But Nvidia's overperformance hasn't insulated it from growing fears of an AI bubble."
"These arrangements mostly look like this: Nvidia makes a capital investment in an AI startup or cloud provider, in return for commitments from that company to purchase Nvidia's chips, meaning Nvidia is effectively paying itself to produce chips. The prevalence of these deals- which involve companies including OpenAI and CoreWeave-have raised even more questions as to how much higher the chip valuations can go."
Peter Thiel's hedge fund, Thiel Macro LLC, executed a major portfolio repositioning in Q3 2025 by selling all 537,742 Nvidia shares worth over $100 million, which represented approximately 40% of the fund's portfolio. Simultaneously, the fund established new positions in Apple and Microsoft, reducing total U.S. equity exposure by more than half from $212 million to $74 million. This strategic shift reflects a belief that while Nvidia benefited from initial AI infrastructure buildout, companies integrating AI into consumer products may prove more durable long-term investments. Nvidia's dominance in the AI boom stems from powering major model training, but concerns about AI bubble valuations and circular investment arrangements with companies like OpenAI and CoreWeave have raised questions about sustainable growth.
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