A Quiet Peace in the Caucasus Could Change the Balance of Power
Briefly

A Quiet Peace in the Caucasus Could Change the Balance of Power
"The peace deal signed at the White House between Armenia and Azerbaijan last August could reverse a trajectory of bloodshed and hatred between those two countries and replace those cornerstones of their relationship with peace, prosperity and stability. It could start a new trade route to Europe that bypasses Russia."
"The modern wars between Armenia and Azerbaijan center around Nagorno Karabakh, an enclave in Azerbaijan that has been inhabited largely by ethnic Armenians for centuries. The wars have claimed the lives of over 30,000 people, most of whom were civilians. An estimated 400,000 Armenians from Azerbaijan and 600,000 Azerbaijanis from Armenia and Karabakh were displaced."
"Iran knows that and last night, Azeri authorities say that Tehran attacked the Caucasus with drones - an allegation that Tehran denies. According to the Azeris, the attack included the Azerbaijani region of Nakhchivan, an area that is cut off from Azerbaijan, bordered by Armenia and Iran - and a region that is a key part of the Trump peace proposal."
Armenia and Azerbaijan signed a peace agreement at the White House in August, potentially ending a destructive cycle of violence between the two nations. The conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, an Armenian-inhabited enclave in Azerbaijan, has killed over 30,000 people and displaced approximately one million since 1988. The peace deal offers opportunities to replace bloodshed with prosperity and establish trade routes to Europe that circumvent Russian influence, which has historically dominated the region. However, Iran's alleged drone attack on Azerbaijan's Nakhchivan region—a key component of the peace proposal—demonstrates ongoing regional tensions and opposition to the agreement's implementation.
Read at The Cipher Brief
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