The Middle East is Reshuffling the Deck. Is the U.S. Ready to Play a New Hand?
Briefly

Lebanon faces unresolved tensions with Hezbollah and a humanitarian disaster in Gaza. Signs of progress include the stability of the Abraham Accords, heightened Arab pressure on Hamas, and Gulf initiatives to rebuild Syria. Policymakers in Washington are encouraged to view the evolving regional dynamics as an opportunity for reshaping American influence. Amid these challenges, Israel considers a military takeover of Gaza following failed ceasefire discussions, while international actors like France and the U.K. push for Palestinian state recognition.
Roule notes that some of the region's long-simmering challenges-from Lebanon's unresolved tensions with Hezbollah to the humanitarian disaster in Gaza-remain dangerously unresolved.
The survival of the Abraham Accords, new Arab pressure on Hamas, and Gulf-led efforts to rebuild Syria all point to a growing regional appetite for stability.
Roule argues that the region's evolving dynamics offer not just challenges, but also a chance to reshape American influence in a more pragmatic and sustainable direction.
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun urged Hezbollah to disarm, warning that Israel will continue attacks if Hezbollah does not agree.
Read at The Cipher Brief
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