#election-predictions
#election-predictions

Miscellaneous

Why did the polls and those who report on them miss Trump's appeal again? - Poynter

Polls again failed to accurately predict election outcomes, raising concerns about their methods and the changing media landscape.

Right-wing politics

Hogan Is Blowing the Maryland Senate Race

Maryland politics dynamics are surprising and unpredictable, with unexpected shifts in popular support for different candidates.

US Elections

fromHackernoon

3 months ago

I Tried to Predict the 2024 Election-Here's What I Got Right (and Totally Wrong) | HackerNoon

The analysis of 2024 U.S. presidential election predictions focused on swing states' margins and polling biases from prior elections.

fromPoynter

Miscellaneous

Why did the polls and those who report on them miss Trump's appeal again? - Poynter

Polls again failed to accurately predict election outcomes, raising concerns about their methods and the changing media landscape.

Right-wing politics

Hogan Is Blowing the Maryland Senate Race

Maryland politics dynamics are surprising and unpredictable, with unexpected shifts in popular support for different candidates.

more#polling-analysis

#politics

fromwww.theguardian.com

2 months ago

Europe politics

Boris Johnson was one of most damaging PMs in history', says Reform UK chair

Boris Johnson criticized as one of UK's most damaging prime ministers by Reform UK's chair, who predicts significant success for his party in elections.

Miscellaneous

Election Forecaster Blames Piers Morgan For Feisty Exchange, Melt Down On His Show: You Should Have Stepped In'

Lichtman criticizes Piers Morgan for failing to moderate a heated debate on his show, citing personal attacks instead of rational discussion.

Miscellaneous

It's Dead': Sean Hannity Argues Trump's Election Night Performance Has Finally Killed Off Legacy Media

Hannity declared legacy media dead as Trump's re-election prospects surged, highlighting the media's declining influence and failure to question candidates rigorously.

fromwww.theguardian.com

2 months ago

Europe politics

Boris Johnson was one of most damaging PMs in history', says Reform UK chair

Boris Johnson criticized as one of UK's most damaging prime ministers by Reform UK's chair, who predicts significant success for his party in elections.

Miscellaneous

Election Forecaster Blames Piers Morgan For Feisty Exchange, Melt Down On His Show: You Should Have Stepped In'

Lichtman criticizes Piers Morgan for failing to moderate a heated debate on his show, citing personal attacks instead of rational discussion.

Miscellaneous

It's Dead': Sean Hannity Argues Trump's Election Night Performance Has Finally Killed Off Legacy Media

Hannity declared legacy media dead as Trump's re-election prospects surged, highlighting the media's declining influence and failure to question candidates rigorously.

more#politics

fromBusiness Insider

Marketing

Trump's election victory put TikTok's astrology community into a meltdown

The astrology community on TikTok faces a credibility crisis after incorrect election predictions.

fromPoynter

Miscellaneous

The New York Times is wheeling out its Needle election predictor - probably - Poynter

The Needle, an election predictive tool, is back, but its effectiveness hinges on tech support amidst ongoing strikes.

Election Betting Odds Turn Sharply Toward Kamala Harris After Shock Poll Shows Her Leading Trump in Iowa

Vice President Kamala Harris gained a significant edge in presidential election prediction markets following a new poll showing her ahead of Donald Trump in Iowa.

fromFortune

US Elections

Election 'Nostradamus' says October surprise is a myth and backs Harris prediction

Lichtman predicts a Kamala Harris victory, dismissing the myth of the October surprise and expressing concerns about the health of democracy.

US Elections

Election Betting Odds Turn Sharply Toward Kamala Harris After Shock Poll Shows Her Leading Trump in Iowa

Vice President Kamala Harris gained a significant edge in presidential election prediction markets following a new poll showing her ahead of Donald Trump in Iowa.

fromFortune

US Elections

Election 'Nostradamus' says October surprise is a myth and backs Harris prediction

Lichtman predicts a Kamala Harris victory, dismissing the myth of the October surprise and expressing concerns about the health of democracy.

more#kamala-harris

#political-commentary

fromSlate Magazine

Miscellaneous

Can a Crossword Predict the President?

The Slate crossword cleverly plays with election predictions through ambiguous clues, allowing dual answers that reflect uncertainties in politics.

11 months ago

US Elections

Opinion | The Truth Hurts Especially When Bill Maher Dishes It Out

Bill Maher's comedic clash with Donald Trump showcases early skepticism towards Trump's seriousness and the ongoing thorn Maher is in his side.

fromSlate Magazine

Miscellaneous

Can a Crossword Predict the President?

The Slate crossword cleverly plays with election predictions through ambiguous clues, allowing dual answers that reflect uncertainties in politics.

more#political-commentary

11 months ago

US Elections

Opinion | The Truth Hurts Especially When Bill Maher Dishes It Out

Bill Maher's comedic clash with Donald Trump showcases early skepticism towards Trump's seriousness and the ongoing thorn Maher is in his side.

#polling-accuracy

fromwww.mercurynews.com

US Elections

Klein: Fretting about election polls? Go do literally anything else

Polling data can be misleading, especially in close elections, and errors are not always random, often favoring one candidate.

State-level polls have consistently underestimated support for Trump, questioning the reliability of polling leading up to crucial elections.

fromPsychology Today

Miscellaneous

Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?

The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.

Digital life

So, Can We Trust the Polls?

Trusting polls as accurate predictors of election outcomes is problematic.

The pandemic's impact on polling accuracy in 2020 remains a critical factor.

fromwww.mercurynews.com

US Elections

Klein: Fretting about election polls? Go do literally anything else

Polling data can be misleading, especially in close elections, and errors are not always random, often favoring one candidate.

State-level polls have consistently underestimated support for Trump, questioning the reliability of polling leading up to crucial elections.

fromPsychology Today

Miscellaneous

Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?

The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.

fromWashingtonian - The website that Washington lives by.

Digital life

So, Can We Trust the Polls?

Trusting polls as accurate predictors of election outcomes is problematic.

The pandemic's impact on polling accuracy in 2020 remains a critical factor.

more#polling-accuracy

fromBitcoin Magazine - Bitcoin News, Articles and Expert Insights

Washington DC

Is the Commanders' Win Good News for Kamala Harris? - Washingtonian

Washington's football team winning its last home game before an election correlates with the incumbent party's success in the presidency.

Cryptocurrency

World's Largest Prediction Market Polymarket Is Trump Biased

Polymarket exhibits a pro-Trump bias due to its crypto-focused user base, influencing its predictive election data.

Traders should be skeptical of Polymarket's forecasts on election odds.

7 months ago

Digital life

The Surprising Place Analysts Look to for Election Forecasting

Washington state's primary elections effectively predict general election outcomes due to unique voter engagement methods and their alignment with national trends.

Left-wing politics

fromThe Nation

7 months ago

The Election Is Getting Down to the Wire

Elections can be unpredictable; historical events show how October surprises can significantly alter voter sentiment and electoral outcomes.

Business

fromFortune

8 months ago

Dump this 'Trump trade' as Kamala Harris flips the election script, Citi says

Citigroup has recommended exiting the 'Trump trade' as market conditions change and suggest tighter economic policies ahead.

#donald-trump

Right-wing politics

Leaked Democrat Internal Poll: Trump Leads Big

Former President Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in swing states and even nationwide according to an internal poll, causing concern among some Congressional Democrats.

fromwww.amny.com

8 months ago

Left-wing politics

Gov. Hochul says there's zero' chance Trump will win NY following VP Harris bump | amNewYork

Gov. Kathy Hochul confidently stated that former President Donald Trump has zero chance of winning New York in the upcoming general election.

fromReadWrite

Left-wing politics

Bitcoin 2024 announces Donald Trump as speaker

Former U.S. President Donald Trump added as a speaker at the Bitcoin 2024 conference, showcasing growing support for cryptocurrencies.

Right-wing politics

Leaked Democrat Internal Poll: Trump Leads Big

Former President Donald Trump leads Joe Biden in swing states and even nationwide according to an internal poll, causing concern among some Congressional Democrats.

fromwww.amny.com

8 months ago

Left-wing politics

Gov. Hochul says there's zero' chance Trump will win NY following VP Harris bump | amNewYork

Gov. Kathy Hochul confidently stated that former President Donald Trump has zero chance of winning New York in the upcoming general election.

fromReadWrite