"As a new era of Tesla seems to be on the horizon, the concern about vehicle deliveries and annual growth seems to be fading, at least according to many investors. Even CEO Elon Musk has implied at times that the automotive side, as a whole, will only make up a small percentage of Tesla's total valuation, as Optimus and AI begin to shine with importance."
"Levy wrote in a note to investors that Tesla's Q4 delivery figures "likely won't matter for the stock." Barclays said in the note that it expects deliveries to be "soft" for the quarter. In years past, Tesla analysts, investors, and fans were focused on automotive growth. Cars were truly the biggest thing the stock had to offer: Tesla was a growing automotive company with a lot of prowess in AI and software, but deliveries held the most impact, along with vehicle pricing."
Vehicle delivery metrics are losing importance for Tesla investors as attention shifts toward AI, autonomous systems, and humanoid robots. Q4 vehicle delivery figures are expected to be soft and likely will have limited impact on the stock. Long-term company value is seen as concentrated in large-scale autonomous cars and high-volume autonomous humanoid robots, with AI and robotics driving future valuation. Historically, delivery beats and misses produced large stock swings, including several double-digit moves tied to delivery results and factory disruptions. Recent quarters show investors prioritizing progress on AI initiatives such as Optimus and Cybercab over raw vehicle delivery growth.
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