"Jarren Duran continues to be an absolute speed demon and make teams pay for it. Not only was his sprint speed in the 91st percentile in 2025, his base running value overall was in the 98th percentile. Consider his 24 stolen bases, 13 triples, and an inside-the-park home run, and it's clear that Duran was absolutely punishing on the base paths. His Fielding Run Value was just 2-a dramatic drop from his mark of 11 in 2024, and his Outs Above Average dropped from 10 in 2024 to -4 in 2025. He took a wicked step back with his glove, but still made up for it with a 93rd percentile Arm Value and arm strength in the 71st percentile."
"It may not have helped that he fluctuated a LOT around the lineup in September. For someone who was one extremely consistent leadoff hitter when things got hot, he was batting anywhere between third, sixth and seventh down the stretch. I will say that when he got barrel to ball he hit the ball hard, with an average exit velocity that was the highest of his career at 91.8 MPH. Still, his chase and whiff rates were both 30th and 20th percentile, respectively and his expected batting metric were frankly, just average."
Jarren Duran produced elite baserunning metrics in 2025, ranking in the 91st percentile for sprint speed and the 98th percentile for overall base running value, with 24 stolen bases, 13 triples, and an inside-the-park home run. Defensive metrics regressed sharply: Fielding Run Value fell to 2 from 11 and Outs Above Average dropped from 10 to -4, though arm value and strength remained strong. Offensive performance was inconsistent month-to-month, including a July OPS+ of 196 amid several months near or below league average. Exit velocity reached a career high of 91.8 MPH, while chase and whiff rates and expected metrics stayed around average. Lineup instability in September further affected role and production.
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