The Quarter Wall Street Changed Gears: Banks move on from rate-driven growth to mapping out what's next - Tearsheet
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The Quarter Wall Street Changed Gears: Banks move on from rate-driven growth to mapping out what's next - Tearsheet
"For the better part of two years, the story of America's largest banks has been consistent: net interest income swelling on the back of higher rates, resilient consumers, and sturdy balance sheets. But Q3 2025 marked a different pattern. This quarter was about how the biggest financial institutions are deliberately repositioning themselves for a landscape where rate tailwinds alone may no longer do the heavy lifting. The headline numbers from J.P. Morgan Chase, The Bank of New York Mellon, and Citigroup were strong,"
"Infrastructure is the new growth engine. Some of the biggest US banks are shifting their bets from lending booms to owning the financial plumbing. The common thread among all three of these major banks is prioritizing payments, servicing, and transaction flows over pure lending growth. Trendline points to fee-based revenue resilience, operational efficiency, and a race to own the rails of global finance. Less talk about rate windfalls, more about rails and recurring flows."
Q3 2025 results show major US banks reprioritizing business models toward payments, servicing, and transaction flows instead of relying solely on rate-driven lending growth. J.P. Morgan Chase reported $14.4 billion in Q3 profit with payments revenue up 13% year-over-year, reflecting network scale and capital discipline. The Bank of New York Mellon posted $1.34 billion in profit with fee income dominating its performance as an institutional back office. Citigroup earned $3.8 billion with treasury and trade solutions up 7% year-over-year amid restructuring toward core transaction banking. Strategic capital deployment, infrastructure modernization, fee resilience, and measured credit vigilance are central priorities.
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