The Cowboys will likely need at least 9 wins to reach the playoffs
Briefly

The Cowboys will likely need at least 9 wins to reach the playoffs
"The Dallas Cowboys are 3-5-1 and spent the bye week recharging and replenishing. The latter is particularly true as Logan Wilson and Quinnen Williams joined the fold. With players like DeMarvion Overshown and Shavon Revel set to make their season debuts at some point soon, it isn't unfair to say that things are going to look seriously different for a defense that has been among the NFL's worst through the first half of the season."
"For the purposes of today's conversation we are going to be talking about the five years of NFL history that directly precede this one. We are focusing on 2020 through 2024 because they are the only five seasons to date in which the NFL had three Wild Card teams in each conference. It should also be noted that the league expanded the regular season to 17 games in 2021."
"There were 55 different teams between 2020 and 2024 who had no more than three wins through their first nine games like this season's Cowboys. Of those 55, there were five that went on to reach the playoffs. Shout out to our friends at Stathead for making this information easy to find and sort. It is worth noting that the numbers are 43 teams and four to reach the playoffs if we cut out 2020 if you only want to focus on 17-game regular seasons. Whichever sample size you prefer it is easy to see that the Cowboys are in all likelihood going to have to finish the season with at least nine wins to have a puncher's chance at a postseason ticket."
The Dallas Cowboys enter the stretch at 3-5-1 after a bye week used to recharge and add personnel, notably Logan Wilson and Quinnen Williams. DeMarvion Overshown and Shavon Revel are expected to make season debuts soon, potentially reshaping a defense that has been among the NFL's worst through the first half. Playoff qualification remains unlikely but possible if substantial improvement occurs. Analysis of 2020–2024 shows 55 teams had no more than three wins through nine games, with five reaching the playoffs; excluding 2020 yields 43 teams and four comebacks. The practical bar appears to be at least nine wins.
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