Rep. Dan Goldman-aligned super PAC's poll has incumbent 5% behind Lander

"Lander, who is challenging Goldman from the left, won the support of 47% of likely voters surveyed compared to 42% for the incumbent in the district spanning lower Manhattan and a chunk of brownstone Brooklyn. In another possible sign of trouble for Goldman, the edge for Lander grows to 9% among voters who say they are certain to vote in the June 23 primary for the seat Goldman has held for two terms since 2022."

"Democratic voters in the deep-blue district have an overwhelmingly positive view of Lander, with 71% viewing him positively compared to just 16% negatively. That's a +55% margin for Lander, compared to +35% for Goldman, which is about on par with the responses about other Democratic legislative leaders like Sen. Chuck Schumer and Rep. Hakeem Jeffries."

"The poll of 465 likely NY-10 Democratic voters was conducted early this month and funded by New Yorkers Fighting Back, a pro-Goldman super PAC that is reportedly bankrolled by the leader of a group of New York hospitals. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5%, meaning it suggests the two candidates could either be locked in a virtual dead heat or Lander could be leading by a healthy 9% margin."

"The pollsters did not release breakdowns for the Manhattan and Brooklyn portions of the district to the public. But it estimated that 45% of the votes will be cast in Manhattan, a figure that analysts say is optimistic for Goldman given that Lander is expected to rack up big margins on the Brooklyn side of the East River. "The math is just super daunting for (Goldman) here," tweeted Adam Carlson, a Democratic pollster who has seen other polls of the district."

A poll of 465 likely Democratic voters in NY-10 shows Brad Lander leading Dan Goldman by about 5%, with 47% supporting Lander and 42% supporting Goldman. Among voters certain to vote in the June 23 primary, Lander’s lead increases to 9%. Lander has a strongly positive favorability rating among Democratic voters, with 71% viewing him positively and 16% negatively, producing a +55 net margin. Goldman’s net favorability is +35, similar to other Democratic leaders. The poll was conducted early in the month with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5%, and it was funded by a pro-Goldman super PAC. No public breakdowns were released by Manhattan versus Brooklyn, though analysts expect Lander to perform especially well in Brooklyn.

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