The reasons West Ham face relegation - and why they are unlucky

"When the dust settles on the West Ham United goal that was controversially ruled out against Arsenal, the cold reality is they are now probably facing relegation. Data experts Opta give West Ham only a 12% chance of survival, with Tottenham Hotspur the only team they could now catch. The Hammers thought they had rescued a draw at home to Arsenal on Sunday - with Callum Wilson firing home in added time."

"But after a seismic video assistant referee review, the goal was ruled out for a Pablo foul on goalkeeper David Raya - a decision West Ham were furious with. It meant Leandro Trossard's 83rd-minute goal was the winner. As well as edging the Gunners closer to the title, Mikel Arteta's side did a favour to fierce rivals Tottenham. Spurs now have the chance to move four points clear with two games to go when they host Leeds United."

""It's going to be tough," Hammers boss Nuno Espirito Santo - who started the season at Forest - told BBC Sport. "It's not in our hands. We fight for it and we will keep on fighting. It is our responsibility - we represent a huge club and it's our obligation to go for it in these last two games." West Ham's last season outside the top flight was 2011-12."

"That would happen if Spurs beat Leeds on Monday and the Hammers lose at Newcastle United next weekend. Spurs, who are one point above the Hammers with a game in hand, would be safe if they win two of their final three games. After playing Leeds, they face Chelsea away and then Everton at home on the final day. West Ham, who host Leeds on the final day, will need to pick up at least two points more than Spurs because of a significantly inferior goal difference."

West Ham United’s late goal against Arsenal was ruled out after a VAR review for a foul by Pablo on goalkeeper David Raya, overturning Callum Wilson’s added-time strike. Leandro Trossard’s 83rd-minute goal then stood as the match winner, keeping Arsenal in the title race and benefiting Tottenham. Opta data gives West Ham only a 12% chance of survival, with Tottenham the only team they can still catch. West Ham’s remaining fixtures include Newcastle and a final-day home match against Leeds, while Tottenham plays Leeds, Chelsea, and Everton. West Ham could be relegated next Sunday if Tottenham beat Leeds and West Ham lose at Newcastle, with survival requiring them to gain at least two more points than Tottenham due to goal difference.

Read at www.bbc.com