Mark Halperin Floats Wild 2028 Election Scenario: There's a Possibility' JD Vance Doesn't Run

"Concerns that Vance is not handling himself well, not just shackled to the administration, their gas prices, and potential bloodbath in the midterms, and the Iran war, but a belief that the downside image of Vance is true. That he's a phony, that he's not good with people, that that he comes off as aloof or odd to some, began Halperin on Friday's edition of his show."

"I will say that in the next two years, as people in the party and the media are comparing Rubio and Vance side by side, I don't think Vance can win'em, win the performance competition. I don't think the-, I, don't, and the likability. I may be wrong, but I just think Rubio has improved enough and the perceptions are such that Vance is going to have a hard time of people looking at him in a press conference, in an interview on the stump."

"Then he floated a scenario most pundits haven't even considered: Here's the bottom line for me. These two guys are genuine friends, and even though people tell me I'm naive, you cannot beat an incumbent vice president running for president unless you rip their face off. That's just the way our politics work. So I do not think they'll run against each other."

"I also am not sure that one or both of them will run because they're young dads the Vances are about to have a baby, Rubio's kids are still relatively young and they both know what scrutiny is like, and they both know, they're both smart enough to know,"

Speculation suggests JD Vance may not run for president in 2028 due to fears about how he presents himself publicly. Concerns include perceptions that he is a “phony,” struggles with people, and comes off as aloof or odd. Comparisons between Vance and Marco Rubio are expected to focus on likability and performance, with Rubio seen as having improved enough to outperform Vance in public settings. A scenario is also raised that Rubio and Vance may not face each other in a bruising primary because they are genuine friends and because beating an incumbent vice president typically requires extreme political conflict. Both may also hesitate due to family considerations and the level of scrutiny involved.

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