Panicked Democrats scramble to offset back-to-back-to-back redistricting blows

"“F*****ck!!” one House Democrat texted Axios' Andrew Solender after Virginia's Supreme Court invalidated the state's new congressional maps. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) vowed to pursue “all options to overturn this shocking decision.” Zoom in: Depression dominated Democrats' public statements and private text threads as the party absorbed its third redistricting loss in 12 days."

"Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis responded to Virginia's aggressive D+4 redistricting on April 21 by unveiling maps on April 27 that carved four additional Republican seats into Florida's 20-8 map. The U.S. Supreme Court opened the door on April 29 to another four or five Republican seats across the South by weakening Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. Then Virginia Supreme Court's ruling Friday turned a slight GOP advantage into a clear edge."

"Zoom out: The significance of the Virginia ruling may seem seismic today. By November 2026, it could look incidental. If the political environment turns sharply against Trump and Republicans - fueled by rising inflation and sinking consumer confidence - Democrats may not have to worry about the X's and O's of redistricting. Even with Friday's ruling, Virginia Democrats are confident they can unseat one - and maybe two - of the state's four House Republicans in November."

"Between the lines: Democrats are taking comfort in another trend: their candidates have consistently over-performed in special elections this cycle compared with Trump-era turnout. In Michigan on Tuesday, the Democratic Senate candidate won by 19 points in a district former Vice President Harris carried by less than 1 point in 2024. What they're saying: “A sad day indeed, but I'm proud of Virginians' willingness to stay true to our state's motto after 250 years,” said Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.). “That spirit is needed now more than ever.”"

Virginia’s Supreme Court invalidated the state’s new congressional maps, prompting frustration among House Democrats and vows to pursue options to overturn the decision. The party had already absorbed a third redistricting loss in 12 days. Florida responded to Virginia’s D+4 redistricting by unveiling maps that added four Republican seats to its 20-8 map. The U.S. Supreme Court weakened Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, opening the door to additional Republican seats across the South. The Virginia ruling shifted a slight GOP advantage into a clear edge. Democrats still expect to unseat at least one, possibly two, of Virginia’s four House Republicans in November, supported by overperformance in special elections this cycle compared with Trump-era turnout.

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