"Most of us fall into one of those four patterns regarding futurism: could, which is overly optimistic; should, where assumptions are made; might, which includes cautious optimism; and don't, which focuses on negative outcomes."
"In the current world of hyper-uncertainty, relying solely on data and logical projections is insufficient for predicting future trends or business strategies effectively."
Predicting the future is a significant challenge for business leaders amidst hyper-uncertainty. Despite gathering data and making logical projections, achieving accurate predictions is elusive. Nick Foster, a futurist and designer, introduces a framework categorizing future thinking into four patterns: 'could,' which is overly optimistic; 'should,' involving assumptions; 'might,' representing cautious optimism; and 'don't,' focusing on negative externalities. This framework aids in identifying weak signals and enhances strategic planning efforts for companies.
Read at Harvard Business Review
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]