A recent Stanford study indicates that declining vaccination rates may allow measles, previously eradicated in the U.S. since 2000, to return. Although California boasts a vaccination rate of 96.2%, slightly down from the previous year, it remains beneath the 95% herd immunity threshold for effective disease prevention. Predictive models suggest that if these rates decline further, measles could become endemic within two decades, leading to millions of infections. The study emphasizes the need for consistent vaccination efforts to maintain public health and prevent the resurgence of diseases.
Current state-level vaccination rates suggest a concerning future where once-eradicated diseases like measles may become endemic in the U.S. within two decades.
Vaccination rates in California, while higher than average, are slowly declining, raising alarms that the herd immunity threshold could soon be breached.
The models predict if vaccination rates continue to fall, measles could cause approximately 51.2 million infections over the next 25 years.
Health officials warn that the decline in vaccination rates threatens to bring back diseases like measles, rubella, and polio in alarming numbers.
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