Good news: Rumors of a K-shaped economy have been overblown so far, says Goldman Sachs. Bad news: 2026 is when it will really bite | Fortune
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Good news: Rumors of a K-shaped economy have been overblown so far, says Goldman Sachs. Bad news: 2026 is when it will really bite | Fortune
"Goldman Sachs' David Mericle suggests that the reading of a K-shaped economy has been exaggerated, with real income evolving similarly across various income levels over the past year."
"The Goldman team noted that price inflation faced by consumers of different income levels has been fairly similar, challenging the notion that low-income households are faring worse than average."
"Jack Manley from J.P. Morgan highlighted that the divergence between the haves and have-nots has been growing over a longer period, particularly regarding home ownership."
Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. economist argues that concerns about a K-shaped economy are overstated. While high-earning households thrive, lower-income households face challenges. However, inflation impacts have been similar across income levels. Weak spending among low-income households is attributed to immigration policy changes rather than a decline in their fortunes. Contrasting views exist, with some economists noting significant recession impacts on lower-income consumers. The divergence in economic conditions has been a long-term trend, particularly affecting home ownership and the American Dream.
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