The CBC Decision Desk predicted a Liberal minority government following complications in counting votes, due to high voter turnout and an increase in mail-in voting. The election saw significant changes in party support, with the New Democrats' vote collapsing and the Bloc Quebecois losing ground, creating a two-party contest with narrow margins. In some ridings, Liberal victories were decided by just a handful of votes, warranting recounts. Approximately 68.5% of registered voters participated, marking the highest turnout since 1993, with 19.5 million Canadians casting ballots.
Elections Canada required additional time to count the significant number of ballots, influenced by an increase in mail-in and advance polling, which made predictions challenging.
The election evolved into a two-party contest particularly due to a collapse in New Democrat support and decreasing Bloc Quebecois votes, indicating a shifting political landscape.
Both Liberal candidates in Newfoundland and Labrador and Terrebonne won their seats by incredibly slim margins—just 12 and 35 votes respectively—prompting automatic recounts.
The turnout rate increased to 68.5% of registered voters, the highest since 1993, with 19.5 million casting their votes, an increase of 2.3 million from 2021.
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