#cognitive-bias
#cognitive-bias

The Base Rate Fallacy: Why Your Smartest Model Still Gets It Wrong | HackerNoon

The base rate fallacy leads to significant misinterpretations of statistical probabilities, especially in predictive models.

1 month ago

The Time Trap: Why "Five Minutes" Always Takes 20

People frequently underestimate task durations due to the planning fallacy, causing projects to run over budget and behind schedule,

Productivity

Fundraising

1 month ago

Why Smart People Fall for Fraudulent Schemes

Scams exploit emotions, not intelligence; anyone can fall for a Ponzi scheme.

Victims endure trauma and shame, with recovery being as crucial as financial restoration.

To avoid scams, stay alert and verify claims before trusting promises.

fromCreative Bloq

1 month ago

Don't look at this optical illusion in public

The spinning ballerina optical illusion has sparked lively debates on which way she spins, suggesting a link between perception and cognitive dominance.

OMG science

Social media marketing

Are Influencers Actually More Influential?

Influencers boost perceptions of popularity and trust but don't aid memory retention of their messages.

#psychology

World politics

Do Negative Worldviews Lead to Political Instability?

Mental health

How Are You Viewed by Others at Work?

World politics

Do Negative Worldviews Lead to Political Instability?

Mental health

How Are You Viewed by Others at Work?

more#psychology

fromMedium

Got one solution? Pay attention

When you catch yourself thinking you've found the clear solution to a problem, that's your cue to get suspicious. Chances are, you haven't uncovered the full complexity of the issue.

Mindfulness

#monty-hall-problem

Board games

Why a Twist to the Monty Hall Problem Stumped So Many

Even experts can misjudge subtle changes in familiar puzzles.

Heuristics simplify decisions but can compromise accuracy.

Critical thinking challenges us to scrutinize our instant conclusions.

Small tweaks to problems can reignite confusion.

Recognizing Strong Evidence Where Others Do Not

Likelihood neglect bias affects accurate judgment, particularly in probability scenarios like the Monty Hall problem.

Board games

Why a Twist to the Monty Hall Problem Stumped So Many

Recognizing Strong Evidence Where Others Do Not

Likelihood neglect bias affects accurate judgment, particularly in probability scenarios like the Monty Hall problem.

more#monty-hall-problem

#ai

How AI Changes Student Thinking: The Hidden Cognitive Risks

AI interactions may reinforce cognitive biases through personalized feedback.

Studies link heavy AI use to declines in critical thinking and decision-making.

Educators can counter algorithmic influence with authentic teaching practices.

Artificial intelligence

AI Is Cognitive Comfort Food

How AI Changes Student Thinking: The Hidden Cognitive Risks

AI interactions may reinforce cognitive biases through personalized feedback.

Studies link heavy AI use to declines in critical thinking and decision-making.

Educators can counter algorithmic influence with authentic teaching practices.

AI Is Cognitive Comfort Food

AI language models prioritize user engagement, often reinforcing beliefs rather than challenging them.

more#ai

#artificial-intelligence

The Solution to the AI Alignment Problem Is in the Mirror

Humanity faces existential risks as AI technology evolves rapidly, potentially surpassing human intelligence.

Our evolutionary traits clash with modern tech, often leading to divisive societal issues.

A Pact With No Partner

AI lacks agency and intention, yet humans project their desires onto it.

Forming a PACT can help preserve human agency amidst AI's influence.

AI can manipulate our biases without awareness, dulling critical reflection.

The Solution to the AI Alignment Problem Is in the Mirror

Humanity faces existential risks as AI technology evolves rapidly, potentially surpassing human intelligence.

Our evolutionary traits clash with modern tech, often leading to divisive societal issues.

more#artificial-intelligence

A Pact With No Partner

AI lacks agency and intention, yet humans project their desires onto it.

Forming a PACT can help preserve human agency amidst AI's influence.

AI can manipulate our biases without awareness, dulling critical reflection.

Intense Moments and Grand Finales: How Memories Are Made

The peak-end rule shapes memories based on the most intense and final moments of an experience.

Understanding the peak-end rule allows for the creation of more memorable experiences.

Mistaking Anecdotes for Facts

People prioritize anecdotal evidence over statistical data due to cognitive biases and emotional connections.

Mental health

Why Facts Can't Break Through the Mind's Firewall

Understanding the mind's firewall helps explain why presenting facts often fails to change beliefs.

Directly (Ir)responsible Individuals

Success can blur the line between ethical leadership and fraudulent behavior.

Outcome influences how we judge actions, leading to rationalizations of unethical behavior.

fromMedium

Why don't they spend (enough) on research?

The challenge of understanding customers arises from the multitude of users and the necessity to build a simplified model for effective communication and product development.

UX design

Illusory Social Consensus

We often overestimate others' agreement due to the False Consensus Effect, especially influenced by repeated claims.

Why Are We Captivated by Bad News?

The relentless proliferation of negative news is not merely a byproduct of media competition, but a structural and psychological phenomenon with far-reaching implications.

Mental health

fromThe New Yorker

12 years ago

Your Personal March Madness Preview

Embracing optimistic thinking can challenge past experiences during unpredictable events like March Madness.

World politics

fromBig Think

How the United States turned the world economy into a battlefield

The illusion of knowledge can lead to overconfidence in our understanding of complex topics like sanctions and economic warfare.

Marketing tech

fromMarTech

How cognitive biases influence email A/B tests | MarTech

Cognitive biases can lead to flawed A/B testing in email marketing if not recognized and managed.

Why Do Bad Things Seem to Happen in Clusters?

Understanding cognitive biases helps explain how we perceive clusters of misfortune.

Stress negatively impacts decision-making, potentially exacerbating difficulties.

Reframing adversity is a key strategy for overcoming repeated challenges.

Psychology

How Defensive Pessimism Complicates Managing Anxiety

Anxiety distorts perceptions, reinforcing negative beliefs and interpretations.

Stubbornness in beliefs complicates understanding of mental illness.

Anxiety can lead to a heightened sense of danger and skew perceptions.

Right-wing politics

fromwww.scientificamerican.com

Can Our Tribal Instincts Save Us?

Tribalism affects all political sides and fosters psychological biases and well-being.

Tribal tendencies may enhance resilience but also risk vulnerability in contemporary society.