#economic-forecast

#economic-forecast

The global economy is projected to grow slower due to U.S. tariffs and uncertainty, according to the International Monetary Fund.

Global economy faces a slowdown due to Trump's tariffs, with IMF predictions marking a decline in growth rates.

U.S. economic growth forecast cut to 1.8% amid rising trade tensions.

Mortgage rates are largely driven by the 10-year Treasury yield, not directly by Fed rate cuts.

The job market remains strong, with significant nonfarm payroll growth.

Analysts predict the Fed's rate-cutting cycle is over due to robust economic activity.

No major drop in mortgage rates is expected in 2025.

The housing market shows slight improvement due to increased supply and lower purchase prices, despite recent mortgage rate increases.

The labor market remains solid but is softening to stabilize mortgage rates.

Job growth persists in health care and government, contrasting with manufacturing declines.

Potential rate cuts may occur in 2025 if inflation trends continue downwards, contrasting some market expectations of rate hikes.

President Trump's influence on housing includes pressure for lower interest rates, with broader market factors potentially affecting mortgage spreads.

Home prices increased 5.8% year-over-year in Q4 2024, surprising market expectations after a previous downward trend.

Goldman Sachs predicts S&P 500 could reach 6,500, fueled by strong earnings but jeopardized by geopolitical tensions and inflation risks.

Disney's stock has dropped over 16% despite strong earnings, indicating market volatility and investor concerns about future performance.

The layoffs signify an impending recession in Washington, D.C., heavily dependent on its federal workforce.

Dimon warns of a 50% chance of US recession due to economic headwinds and trade tariffs.

Britain's economy faces contraction as business confidence hits a two-year low following Chancellor Reeves's budget.

UK GDP growth unexpectedly expanded by 0.5% in February, much higher than forecasts.

The UK economy experienced a slight growth in August, indicating potential recovery despite broader challenges.

Business confidence has declined due to rising tax concerns, jeopardizing investment and overall economic stability in the UK.

The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in 2023, tripling previous growth estimates, indicating a quicker recovery than anticipated.

Barry Bannister predicts a potential market correction due to worsening consumer behavior and inflation data.

Walmart leadership highlights signs of weakening consumer patterns among middle-income shoppers.

Global sales of personal luxury goods are expected to shrink in 2025, potentially impacted by tariffs and global economic challenges.