#polymarket

#polymarket

Polymarket's prediction market reflects changing dynamics in political forecasting, but regulatory challenges raise questions about its future operations.

Kalshi's election prediction market volume suggests strong interest, despite a late launch.

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home was raided, raising concerns about political retaliation against the prediction market.

Prediction markets indicated a significant potential payout of $450 million following Trump's election victory, contrasting traditional polls' predictions.

The concept of 'crowd wisdom' in betting markets suggests new approaches to understanding outcomes without hard data.

Prediction markets face challenges in accurately predicting election outcomes amidst potential disputes and heightened political tension.

Bettors express skepticism on Matt Gaetz's confirmation as Attorney General, giving it a mere 21% chance.

The FBI raid on Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan raises suspicions of political retribution amid concerns over legal gambling on unregulated platforms.

The F.B.I. raided Polymarket's founder as part of an investigation into unlicensed betting practices in the U.S.

Bettors give an 86% chance of pardons for January 6 protestors and a 78% chance for Ulbricht, indicating high public interest.

A recent court ruling may allow election-based prediction markets to expand in the U.S.

Blockchain initiatives are generating substantial interest but face challenges in monetization, as exemplified by Polymarket's low fee revenue despite its popularity.

Large trades can temporarily skew odds on prediction platforms like Polymarket, creating mispricing events.

Donald Trump's odds surged to 99% due to a single entity's significant investment, despite actual market odds being lower.

The presidential debate showcased humorous crypto interactions and side bets, without any serious discussion on cryptocurrency policies.

Bettors significantly misjudged the duration of Telegram CEO Pavel Durov's detention, resulting in substantial losses on Polymarket.