#prediction-markets

#prediction-markets

Tremor tracks volatility on Polymarket , a prediction market that lets traders bet on the outcome of future events. The goal of Saravanan's new tool: Spot sudden swings and identify potentially valuable situations where insiders may know more than the general population. "If the chance of a ceasefire in a war jumps from 50% to 80%, but there's no news, it's likely someone with inside info is acting on Polymarket," Saravanan told me.

"Prediction markets remind me of crypto 15 years ago: a new asset class on a path to trillions," Matt Huang, co-founder and managing partner at Paradigm, told TechCrunch in an emailed statement. "There's no better team than Kalshi to scale prediction markets and reshape how people think about everything from elections and economic markets to weather and sports."