#prediction-markets

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#kalshi
Business
fromCoindesk
7 months ago

Kalshi Cleared to Offer Congressional Prediction Markets in Victory Against CFTC

Kalshi's recent legal victory has opened the door for U.S. election markets, allowing betting on congressional control before the election.
fromCoindesk
7 months ago
Privacy professionals

U.S. Political Prediction Markets :Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

Judge Cobb's ruling favors Kalshi, potentially reshaping the future of prediction markets and challenging the CFTC's regulatory authority.
fromwww.amny.com
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Can You Bet on the Presidential Race? Here's How To Get Started | amNewYork

Kalshi offers a secure platform for U.S. citizens to legally bet on the presidential race following a recent regulatory change.
fromCoindesk
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction

Kalshi's election prediction market volume suggests strong interest, despite a late launch.
fromCardplayer
4 days ago
Poker

Kalshi Sues Maryland After Cease-And-Desist Letter

Kalshi is challenging state regulations on sports betting, claiming its market is federally regulated and not subject to state control.
fromTechCrunch
3 weeks ago
SF politics

How Kalshi helped prediction markets go mainstream | TechCrunch

Kalshi is the largest prediction market in America, trading on events like politics and sports.
Business
fromCoindesk
7 months ago

Kalshi Cleared to Offer Congressional Prediction Markets in Victory Against CFTC

Kalshi's recent legal victory has opened the door for U.S. election markets, allowing betting on congressional control before the election.
fromCoindesk
7 months ago
Privacy professionals

U.S. Political Prediction Markets :Why Kalshi's Court Victory Matters

Judge Cobb's ruling favors Kalshi, potentially reshaping the future of prediction markets and challenging the CFTC's regulatory authority.
fromwww.amny.com
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Can You Bet on the Presidential Race? Here's How To Get Started | amNewYork

Kalshi offers a secure platform for U.S. citizens to legally bet on the presidential race following a recent regulatory change.
fromCoindesk
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction

Kalshi's election prediction market volume suggests strong interest, despite a late launch.
fromCardplayer
4 days ago
Poker

Kalshi Sues Maryland After Cease-And-Desist Letter

Kalshi is challenging state regulations on sports betting, claiming its market is federally regulated and not subject to state control.
fromTechCrunch
3 weeks ago
SF politics

How Kalshi helped prediction markets go mainstream | TechCrunch

Kalshi is the largest prediction market in America, trading on events like politics and sports.
more#kalshi
#robinhood
Venture
fromBusiness Insider
2 months ago

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev calls prediction markets 'the future' and says the company will play a 'leading role'

Vlad Tenev envisions prediction markets as the future of trading and information, wanting Robinhood to take a leading role in their development.
fromThe Verge
2 weeks ago
Startup companies

Are prediction markets gambling? Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev is betting the answer is no

Robinhood is expanding into banking and wealth management, embracing prediction markets as a future of finance.
fromFortune Crypto
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Trump leads Harris on Robinhood's new prediction market with 100 million contracts traded

Robinhood's new election betting platform has gained immense popularity, trading over 100 million contracts in its first week.
fromFast Company
1 month ago
US Elections

Robinhood launches prediction markets hub

Robinhood launched a prediction markets hub to trade on event outcomes, tapping into rising interest and debate surrounding event contracts.
Venture
fromBusiness Insider
2 months ago

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev calls prediction markets 'the future' and says the company will play a 'leading role'

Vlad Tenev envisions prediction markets as the future of trading and information, wanting Robinhood to take a leading role in their development.
Startup companies
fromThe Verge
2 weeks ago

Are prediction markets gambling? Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev is betting the answer is no

Robinhood is expanding into banking and wealth management, embracing prediction markets as a future of finance.
fromFortune Crypto
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Trump leads Harris on Robinhood's new prediction market with 100 million contracts traded

Robinhood's new election betting platform has gained immense popularity, trading over 100 million contracts in its first week.
fromFast Company
1 month ago
US Elections

Robinhood launches prediction markets hub

Robinhood launched a prediction markets hub to trade on event outcomes, tapping into rising interest and debate surrounding event contracts.
more#robinhood
Poker
fromBusiness Insider
1 month ago

A big threat to the gambling world was on full display at one of the industry's top conferences

The gambling industry faces competition from emerging challenger brands and regulatory challenges amid the rise of prediction markets and related technologies.
NYC politics
fromwww.amny.com
1 month ago

Andrew Cuomo Enters NYC Mayor Race as Odds-On Favorite Here's How To Bet On It | amNewYork

Andrew Cuomo is a leading candidate for New York City Mayor, with prediction markets showing him as the favorite despite his controversial past.
Film
fromBusiness Insider
1 month ago

Bettors on Polymarket are picking 'Anora' to win Best Picture at the Oscars

Prediction markets favor 'Anora' for Best Picture at the Oscars, highlighting its prevailing confidence and past predictive success.
fromLos Angeles Times
3 months ago
California

Shaikin: Polymarket shouldn't allow people to profit by betting on the L.A. firestorm

Betting on sports has permeated various aspects of society, with the emergence of prediction markets even extending to catastrophic events.
#election-forecasting
US news
fromwww.nytimes.com
6 months ago

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Polls and prediction markets show differing predictions for election outcomes, creating an ongoing debate about their accuracy and reliability.
fromNieman Lab
4 months ago
Media industry

Prediction markets go mainstream

Prediction markets are set to disrupt traditional news models by providing real-time insights and changing how news is valued and consumed.
US news
fromwww.nytimes.com
6 months ago

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Polls and prediction markets show differing predictions for election outcomes, creating an ongoing debate about their accuracy and reliability.
fromNieman Lab
4 months ago
Media industry

Prediction markets go mainstream

Prediction markets are set to disrupt traditional news models by providing real-time insights and changing how news is valued and consumed.
more#election-forecasting
#polymarket
fromFast Company
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket nailed the 2024 election call-Then came the FBI

Polymarket's prediction market reflects changing dynamics in political forecasting, but regulatory challenges raise questions about its future operations.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket CEO's Home Is Raided by FBI

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home was raided, raising concerns about political retaliation against the prediction market.
fromTechCrunch
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

'Prediction markets' set to pay out $450M to election bettors | TechCrunch

Prediction markets indicated a significant potential payout of $450 million following Trump's election victory, contrasting traditional polls' predictions.
The concept of 'crowd wisdom' in betting markets suggests new approaches to understanding outcomes without hard data.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face 'Hornet's Nest'

Prediction markets face challenges in accurately predicting election outcomes amidst potential disputes and heightened political tension.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket Trader Loses Millions on Tyson After Making Bank on Trump

Bettors express skepticism on Matt Gaetz's confirmation as Attorney General, giving it a mere 21% chance.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
France politics

Polymarket Blocks French Users Amid Gambling Inquiry

Polymarket has blocked French users amid gambling law investigations.
The blockade stems from a significant bet on Donald Trump's election.
fromFast Company
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket nailed the 2024 election call-Then came the FBI

Polymarket's prediction market reflects changing dynamics in political forecasting, but regulatory challenges raise questions about its future operations.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket CEO's Home Is Raided by FBI

Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home was raided, raising concerns about political retaliation against the prediction market.
fromTechCrunch
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

'Prediction markets' set to pay out $450M to election bettors | TechCrunch

Prediction markets indicated a significant potential payout of $450 million following Trump's election victory, contrasting traditional polls' predictions.
The concept of 'crowd wisdom' in betting markets suggests new approaches to understanding outcomes without hard data.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

If U.S. Election Is Disputed, Prediction Markets Could Face 'Hornet's Nest'

Prediction markets face challenges in accurately predicting election outcomes amidst potential disputes and heightened political tension.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket Trader Loses Millions on Tyson After Making Bank on Trump

Bettors express skepticism on Matt Gaetz's confirmation as Attorney General, giving it a mere 21% chance.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
France politics

Polymarket Blocks French Users Amid Gambling Inquiry

Polymarket has blocked French users amid gambling law investigations.
The blockade stems from a significant bet on Donald Trump's election.
more#polymarket
#blockchain
fromHackernoon
5 months ago
JavaScript

Gnosis conditional token framework (CTF): tokenizing potential outcomes in prediction markets | HackerNoon

The Gnosis conditional token framework enhances prediction markets by tokenizing outcomes through blockchain smart contracts.
fromHackernoon
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket Explained: How Blockchain Prediction Markets Are Shaping the Future of Forecasting | HackerNoon

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that prioritizes user control and experience via non-custodial wallets.
fromHackernoon
5 months ago
JavaScript

Gnosis conditional token framework (CTF): tokenizing potential outcomes in prediction markets | HackerNoon

The Gnosis conditional token framework enhances prediction markets by tokenizing outcomes through blockchain smart contracts.
fromHackernoon
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket Explained: How Blockchain Prediction Markets Are Shaping the Future of Forecasting | HackerNoon

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market that prioritizes user control and experience via non-custodial wallets.
more#blockchain
#polling-accuracy
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing

Prediction markets, especially Polymarket, effectively forecasted the 2024 election results, highlighting their reliability over traditional polling methods.
fromwww.amny.com
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Live Election Polls: Here Are the Most Accurate Trump vs. Harris Predictions | amNewYork

Prediction markets are seen as more accurate than traditional polls for tracking the 2024 presidential election dynamics.
fromBusiness Insider
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

Prediction markets consistently provide more accurate election forecasts than traditional polls and media outlets.
fromWIRED
5 months ago
Cooking

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour On Prediction Markets' Big Night: 'We Even Overtook Pornhub'

Prediction markets may provide alternative insights into election outcomes, contrasting sharply with traditional polls.
fromPsychology Today
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?

The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.
fromCoindesk
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing

Prediction markets, especially Polymarket, effectively forecasted the 2024 election results, highlighting their reliability over traditional polling methods.
fromwww.amny.com
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Live Election Polls: Here Are the Most Accurate Trump vs. Harris Predictions | amNewYork

Prediction markets are seen as more accurate than traditional polls for tracking the 2024 presidential election dynamics.
fromBusiness Insider
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

Prediction markets consistently provide more accurate election forecasts than traditional polls and media outlets.
fromWIRED
5 months ago
Cooking

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour On Prediction Markets' Big Night: 'We Even Overtook Pornhub'

Prediction markets may provide alternative insights into election outcomes, contrasting sharply with traditional polls.
fromPsychology Today
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?

The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.
more#polling-accuracy
#political-betting
fromAxios
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Why prediction markets swung heavily against Trump as the election neared

Prediction markets reveal volatility in betting odds for political candidates, complicating their ability to predict outcomes accurately.
fromwww.nytimes.com
5 months ago
Tech industry

Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets like Polymarket outperformed traditional polls in forecasting Trump's election victory, marking a pivotal moment for the betting culture in politics.
fromAxios
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

Why prediction markets swung heavily against Trump as the election neared

Prediction markets reveal volatility in betting odds for political candidates, complicating their ability to predict outcomes accurately.
fromwww.nytimes.com
5 months ago
Tech industry

Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory

Prediction markets like Polymarket outperformed traditional polls in forecasting Trump's election victory, marking a pivotal moment for the betting culture in politics.
more#political-betting
fromwww.amny.com
5 months ago
US Elections

Who is winning the election right now? How to bet on the presidential election | amNewYork

Prediction markets indicate Donald Trump is leading in the election with a 60% probability of winning.
Tech industry
fromwww.nytimes.com
5 months ago

Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird

Tech billionaires are cautious about political endorsements, speculating on a possible Trump comeback.
The readiness for superintelligence is critical in AI development, highlighting ethical challenges.
Prediction markets like Polymarket may influence political outcomes amidst uncertainty.
#political-forecasting
fromThe Atlantic
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

The Giant Asterisk on Election Betting

Election betting is gaining traction as a significant factor in predicting political outcomes.
fromtime.com
6 months ago
US politics

Don't Bet on the Financial Scam of Easily Manipulated Political Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are unreliable indicators for political forecasting due to thin trading volume and speculative motivations.
fromThe Atlantic
5 months ago
Miscellaneous

The Giant Asterisk on Election Betting

Election betting is gaining traction as a significant factor in predicting political outcomes.
fromtime.com
6 months ago
US politics

Don't Bet on the Financial Scam of Easily Manipulated Political Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are unreliable indicators for political forecasting due to thin trading volume and speculative motivations.
more#political-forecasting
#us-presidential-election
fromwww.mercurynews.com
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

The polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who's right?

Prediction markets show a shift in momentum towards Trump, despite polls showing a close race with Harris.
fromwww.mercurynews.com
6 months ago
Miscellaneous

The polls say the presidential election is a dead heat. But online bettors are leaning to Trump. Who's right?

Prediction markets show a shift in momentum towards Trump, despite polls showing a close race with Harris.
more#us-presidential-election
fromFast Company
6 months ago
European startups

Predict the next unicorn? Insights from "superforecaster" VCs can help. Here's how

Human intuition remains unparalleled in predicting future outcomes, especially in venture capital.
fromCoindesk
7 months ago
Cryptocurrency

Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won't Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet

Caroline Ellison may avoid prison due to cooperation with prosecutors, according to prediction markets.
Traders remain skeptical about Qualcomm's bid for Intel succeeding.
US Elections
fromCoindesk
7 months ago

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

Prediction markets reveal hesitance in the impact of debates on polls, as seen by unsuccessful manipulative strategies and regained stability post-debate.
fromHackernoon
1 year ago
Startup companies

Could Prediction Markets Offer Better Odds at Who Wins the US Elections? | HackerNoon

Most users engage with prediction markets for observation rather than trading.
Understanding user behavior is essential for refining product development and marketing strategies.
Cryptocurrency
fromCoindesk
8 months ago

Crypto's Bet on Election Betting Expands to Solana

Drift is introducing prediction markets focused on binary outcomes using various cryptocurrencies, differentiating itself from platforms like Polymarket.
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