#prospect-theory

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Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
1 day ago

The people who answer 'I don't mind, whatever you want' aren't being easygoing. They're running a private calculation that having a preference has cost them more than it has ever earned them - Silicon Canals

Expressing preferences can feel costly, leading some individuals to suppress their desires to avoid conflict.
Bootstrapping
fromEntrepreneur
2 days ago

Equity Feels Safe. Debt Feels Risky. Reality Says Otherwise.

Debt-based financing promotes strong fundamentals, while equity can obscure inefficiencies and escalate expectations for growth.
#leadership
Growth hacking
fromEntrepreneur
3 days ago

How My Optimism Led to My Most Expensive Leadership Mistake

Excusing negative behavior based on potential can lead to poor leadership decisions and organizational costs.
Growth hacking
fromEntrepreneur
3 days ago

How My Optimism Led to My Most Expensive Leadership Mistake

Excusing negative behavior based on potential can lead to poor leadership decisions and organizational costs.
#decision-making
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
1 week ago

People who research every decision exhaustively before acting aren't thorough - they're trying to build a guarantee in a world that doesn't sell them because the last time they trusted their gut without evidence something expensive happened and the body never forgot the bill - Silicon Canals

Chronic overanalysis of decisions stems from past failures, leading to wasted time and missed opportunities.
Mindfulness
fromInfoQ
3 weeks ago

Hidden Decisions You Don't Know You're Making

Decision-making is a fundamental aspect of work and life, influencing culture, relationships, and future choices.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
2 weeks ago

Taking the Pressure Off of Decision-Making

Decision-making is often stressful due to unconscious biases and insufficient information, but clarity and self-awareness can ease the process.
Bootstrapping
fromExchangewire
2 weeks ago

The Importance of Confidence in an Unpredictable World

Agencies can help clients build confidence in decision-making by providing clarity, preparedness, and adaptability in uncertain business environments.
Philosophy
fromThe Atlantic
1 month ago

How to Make Better Decisions

Decision-making quality shapes life outcomes, with two main models: heroic-visionary and technocratic, each having significant flaws.
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
1 week ago

People who research every decision exhaustively before acting aren't thorough - they're trying to build a guarantee in a world that doesn't sell them because the last time they trusted their gut without evidence something expensive happened and the body never forgot the bill - Silicon Canals

Chronic overanalysis of decisions stems from past failures, leading to wasted time and missed opportunities.
Mindfulness
fromInfoQ
3 weeks ago

Hidden Decisions You Don't Know You're Making

Decision-making is a fundamental aspect of work and life, influencing culture, relationships, and future choices.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
2 weeks ago

Taking the Pressure Off of Decision-Making

Decision-making is often stressful due to unconscious biases and insufficient information, but clarity and self-awareness can ease the process.
#prediction-markets
US Elections
fromThe Walrus
3 days ago

Prediction Markets Turn Everything into a Wager-Even War | The Walrus

Prediction markets enable betting on global political events, raising concerns about insider trading and anonymity.
Poker
from24/7 Wall St.
5 days ago

He Quit His Job to Bet on Prediction Markets Full-Time: Why Casual Bettors Should Think Twice

Caden Booth's experience highlights the lack of competition in prediction markets, revealing opportunities for casual bettors.
fromFuturism
2 months ago
Startup companies

An Analysis Just Found Something Extremely Unflattering About What Happens to Users of Prediction Markets

US Elections
fromThe Walrus
3 days ago

Prediction Markets Turn Everything into a Wager-Even War | The Walrus

Prediction markets enable betting on global political events, raising concerns about insider trading and anonymity.
Poker
from24/7 Wall St.
5 days ago

He Quit His Job to Bet on Prediction Markets Full-Time: Why Casual Bettors Should Think Twice

Caden Booth's experience highlights the lack of competition in prediction markets, revealing opportunities for casual bettors.
fromFuturism
2 months ago
Startup companies

An Analysis Just Found Something Extremely Unflattering About What Happens to Users of Prediction Markets

Health
fromPsychology Today
4 days ago

The Many Faces of Procrastination and Health Behaviors

Procrastination can negatively impact health by delaying doctor visits and healthy behaviors.
#artificial-intelligence
Mental health
fromFast Company
1 week ago

How to navigate uncertainty in an increasingly uncertain world

Artificial intelligence advancements are creating job insecurity and uncertainty for millions, compounded by geopolitical tensions and personal health challenges.
fromFortune
1 month ago
Artificial intelligence

Legendary investor Howard Marks was skeptical about AI. What it said to him about Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger left him shook | Fortune

Data science
fromTNW | Finance
5 days ago

How AI and human judgment combine in modern financial market analysis

Intelligent Investing AI enhances financial forecasting by processing large datasets while human interpretation remains crucial for meaningful market insights.
Mental health
fromFast Company
1 week ago

How to navigate uncertainty in an increasingly uncertain world

Artificial intelligence advancements are creating job insecurity and uncertainty for millions, compounded by geopolitical tensions and personal health challenges.
fromFortune
1 month ago
Artificial intelligence

Legendary investor Howard Marks was skeptical about AI. What it said to him about Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger left him shook | Fortune

Business
fromJezebel
5 days ago

The Stock Market Can Stay Irrational Longer than You Can Stay Solvent

Allbirds' stock surged 600% after announcing a shift to AI, illustrating market irrationality during manias.
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
2 days ago

Some people don't stay quiet in arguments because they're calm, they stay quiet because they ran the math years ago and concluded that saying the thing costs more than swallowing it, and they've been paying the cheaper price so long they forgot it was a choice - Silicon Canals

Silence in arguments often results from an automatic cost-benefit analysis rather than emotional mastery or composure.
Poker
fromPsychology Today
1 week ago

What Old Psychology Can Teach Us About New Betting

Modern betting platforms leverage psychological factors to attract users, leading to widespread financial losses despite their appeal.
#motivation
Careers
fromPsychology Today
3 weeks ago

The Surprising Psychology of Being First or Last

Rank affects motivation, with top and bottom performers increasing effort, while mid-ranking individuals often disengage.
Careers
fromPsychology Today
3 weeks ago

The Surprising Psychology of Being First or Last

Rank affects motivation, with top and bottom performers increasing effort, while mid-ranking individuals often disengage.
Psychology
fromMail Online
3 days ago

What's YOUR 'money type'? Scientists say there are 3 financial styles

Money behavior types influence financial habits, with three distinct styles: Financial Explorers, Habitual Savers, and The Disengaged.
Data science
fromPsychology Today
2 weeks ago

Is Algorithmic Asymmetry Reshaping How We Think?

Algorithmic asymmetry creates unequal access to information and decision-making, impacting individuals across various aspects of life.
Online learning
fromEntrepreneur
3 weeks ago

The Blind Spot That Makes Companies Repeat Costly Mistakes

Companies often fail to capture decision-making reasoning, leading to repeated mistakes and lost learning when leadership changes occur.
Productivity
fromFast Company
3 weeks ago

3 tips from a cognitive scientist on how to beat decision fatigue

Cognitive effectiveness is influenced by circadian cycles and decision fatigue, which can be managed through effort-accuracy tradeoff strategies.
fromPsychology Today
6 days ago

The Economics of Trust

Trust is not merely a social nicety - it is infrastructure. Across decades of empirical research, economists and political scientists have converged on a striking finding: societies and individuals with higher levels of interpersonal trust consistently outperform their low-trust counterparts on nearly every measurable dimension of economic and institutional life.
Psychology
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
1 week ago

How Judgments and Opinions Can Make Matters Worse

Misleading thoughts and emotions can disrupt performance, but psychological flexibility allows individuals to pursue goals despite distress.
Mindfulness
fromwww.npr.org
4 weeks ago

Do you lean optimistic or pessimistic? Take this quiz and find out

Optimism can be cultivated and is essential for problem-solving and maintaining hope during difficult times.
E-Commerce
fromTasting Table
1 month ago

How To Outwit The Grocery Store 'Decoy Effect' That Causes You To Overspend - Tasting Table

The decoy effect is a retail marketing tactic that manipulates customer perception of value by introducing a strategically priced third option to make expensive items appear more valuable than budget alternatives.
#risk-taking
Books
fromThe Atlantic
1 month ago

The Art of Taking Smart Risks

Intelligent risk-taking involves distinguishing between reckless behavior and brave action, with society facing pressure from industries profiting off compulsive gambling rather than meaningful risk-taking.
Books
fromThe Atlantic
1 month ago

The Art of Taking Smart Risks

Intelligent risk-taking involves distinguishing between reckless behavior and brave action, with society facing pressure from industries profiting off compulsive gambling rather than meaningful risk-taking.
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
2 weeks ago

Research suggests that high intelligence doesn't protect against bad decisions - it makes people better at constructing convincing justifications for the bad decisions they were already going to make - Silicon Canals

Higher intelligence can lead to greater polarization rather than alignment on contested facts.
UX design
fromMedium
2 months ago

The safest decision is rarely the right one

Data often becomes a safe substitute for judgment, enabling teams to avoid accountability and favor incremental, low-risk product choices over bolder, unproven innovations.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
3 weeks ago

People Don't Just Update Beliefs, They Test Them

Understanding psychological change requires recognizing the role of control and mastery in actively pursuing change despite familiar limitations.
Philosophy
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

Why Expert Predictions So Often Fail

True expertise is judgment under constraints, focused on diagnosing present problems and weighing tradeoffs, not predicting uncertain futures.
Venture
fromEntrepreneur
2 months ago

Fear and Uncertainty Stopped Me From Investing - Here's the Simple Framework I Used to Never Hesitate Again

Act when roughly 70% confident rather than waiting for perfect certainty, because early-stage opportunities are lost to hesitation and over-analysis.
Environment
fromThe Atlantic
2 months ago

Why We Can't 'Nudge' Our Problems Away

Individual responsibility narratives and behavioral nudges shift focus from systemic solutions, making people feel morally responsible while industries avoid regulation.
fromEntrepreneur
2 months ago

How Your Intuition Can Become Your Biggest Bottleneck

The founder of one of our portfolio companies created a company with approximately $200 million in revenue purely on instinct. The founder had spent a large amount of time around the products and relationships with customers, so that he could literally go out onto the production floor and identify the machine that would be broken down in a week, and he would reject a price recommendation from his financial staff because "it didn't feel right!"
Startup companies
US politics
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

When Everyone Agrees, Nobody Sees

A multicultural military harnesses immigrant experiences and diverse perspectives to strengthen national defense and improve collective decision-making.
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
3 weeks ago

Overthinkers often don't realize it but psychology says the way they experience happiness is fundamentally different from most people - they can't feel joy without immediately calculating how and when they'll lose it - Silicon Canals

Chronic overthinkers experience positive emotions differently, often dampening their intensity and duration instead of savoring them.
Miscellaneous
fromMedium
1 month ago

The wisdom curve

Designers achieve lasting impact by transcending ego-driven toolsets, embracing continuous learning across domains, and pursuing self-actualization and transcendence beyond conventional career progression.
Philosophy
fromThe Conversation
1 month ago

Making good choices when life gets messy - practical wisdom relies on human judgment, not rules

Practical wisdom involves making sound judgments in complex situations where rules are unclear and competing values conflict.
fromMedium
1 month ago

The justification tax

Kantar's codebase was legacy old. The kind of technical debt that isn't a line item on a sprint board but a structural reality that shapes every decision the company makes. Rebuilding the architecture to support what I'd designed would have cost more than the organization was willing to invest, regardless of the Barilla deal sitting on the table.
UX design
Artificial intelligence
fromHarvard Gazette
2 months ago

When you do the math, humans still rule - Harvard Gazette

Mathematicians launched First Proof to test AI on recently solved research problems, showing AI excels at routine tasks but struggles with creative, conceptual breakthroughs.
UX design
fromMedium
5 months ago

The Psychology Of Trust In A World Where Products Keep Breaking Promises

Frequent product changes that alter established user workflows erode trust and increase confusion, making adoption harder in B2B/SaaS environments.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
1 month ago

3 Rules for Living That Come From Evolutionary Psychology

Positive evolutionary psychology emphasizes kindness, love, and trustworthiness as essential for improving life and understanding human behavior.
Mindfulness
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

Securing the Sweet Spot for Effective Decision-Making

Missing crucial information in communication shapes outcomes; improving attention, metacognition, and deliberate pauses reduces errors and strengthens cooperation with smarter tools.
Productivity
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

The Case for Taking the Easy Path

Ease often reveals genuine strengths; concentrating effort on strengths builds deep expertise while selectively addressing essential weaknesses prevents spreading energy too thin.
fromFast Company
2 months ago

Why it pays to believe in luck

The oil tycoon J. Paul Getty was rumoured to have said that his three rules for how to become rich were: Rise early. Work hard. Strike oil. It's one of those eminently quotable remarks because it captures something we all know to be true, that luck and chance have as much to do with success as anything else. Yet we don't value people for their luck.
Philosophy
Mindfulness
fromPsychology Today
1 month ago

Why We Ignore Our Own Advice

People easily give advice about difficult decisions to others but struggle to follow their own wisdom when facing personal risk and discomfort.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
1 month ago

The Science of Buying

Effective influence requires understanding how individuals process information, assess risk, and build trust rather than applying standardized pressure tactics.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

Confirmation Bias and the Choices We Make

Confirmation bias leads people to interpret the same events differently, complicating truth-finding during misinformation while open-mindedness and better methods can improve accuracy.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

How You Decide If Something Is Expensive

False urgency, social comparison, and lifelong financial anchors distort perceived value, leading to purchases that prioritize short-term emotion over long-term utility.
fromSilicon Canals
2 months ago

Psychology says people who always pay with exact change display these 7 personality traits that go beyond just being organized - Silicon Canals

They're displaying a fascinating set of personality traits that go much deeper than having their finances sorted. 1) They have exceptional impulse control Think about what it takes to always have exact change ready. You need to resist the urge to spend those coins on vending machines or leave them as tips. You have to plan ahead, knowing what you'll buy and preparing accordingly.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

Daily Prophets: How Your Brain Predicts the Future

I am a worrier, and have been for most of my life. At some point, someone dear and smart teased me that I worry about the wrong things. The things that hit me, she noted, were never the things I worried about. For a while that left me feeling like an incompetent worrier-until my research caught up. I realized that the things I worry about often don't end up hurting me precisely because worrying helps me diffuse them ahead of time.
Psychology
Psychology
fromSilicon Canals
1 month ago

Behavioral economists found that people with substantial savings who live modestly aren't being frugal - they've discovered that the security of untouched wealth provides more psychological satisfaction than any material display ever could - Silicon Canals

Financial security from modest spending and consistent saving provides greater psychological satisfaction than wealth displays or increased consumption.
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

The Cause Illusion

Ever since our ancestors first stood upright and squinted at the horizon, we've been wired to notice patterns. A rustle in the grass might have meant a stalking predator. Dark clouds often meant rain. Those who made these connections and guessed that one thing caused another tended to survive. Over time, this ability to link events became one of our most significant evolutionary advantages. It's how we built tools, tamed fire, and eventually invented Wi-Fi.
Psychology
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

Too Optimistic in Time Planning?

People systematically underestimate task completion time (planning fallacy), causing delays and costs; time management improves by grounding plans in past experience and social consequences.
Psychology
fromMedium
4 years ago

Draw Little Conclusions, Not Big Ones

Avoid drawing broad conclusions from single negative events because overgeneralizing can lead to unnecessary, lasting losses and missed opportunities.
Psychology
fromPsychology Today
2 months ago

Can the Mere Sight of Something Tempting Affect Your Memory?

Heavier drinkers show attention narrowing: alcohol images are remembered better but impair memory for immediately subsequent items.
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